Algorithms & Society

Predictions when deployed in societal systems can trigger actions and reactions of individuals. Thereby they can change the way the broader system behaves -- a dynamic effect that traditional machine learning fails to account for. To formalize and reason about performativity in the context of machine learning, we have developed the framework of performative prediction. It extends the classical risk minimization framework in that it allows the data distribution to depend on the deployed model. This inherently dynamic viewpoint leads to new solution concepts and optimization challenges, and it brings forth interesting connections to concepts from causality, game theory and control.

Algorithmic predictions play an increasingly important role in digital economies as they mediate services, platforms, and markets at societal scale. The fact that such services can steer consumption and behavior is a central concern in modern anti-trust. I am exploring how the concept of performativity can help quantify economic power in digital economies and support digital market investigations. Intuitively, the more powerful a firm the more performative their predictions, a causal effect strength we can measure from observational and experimental data.

When building societal-scale machine learning systems, training time and resource constraints can be a critical bottleneck for dynamic system optimization. Efficient training algorithms that are aware of distributed architectures, interconnect topologies, memory constraints and accelerator units form an important bilding block towards using available resources most efficiently. As part of my PhD research, we demonstrated that system-aware algroithms can lead to several orders of magnitude reduction in training time compared to standard system-agnostic methods. Today, the innovations of my PhD research form the backbone of the IBM Snap ML library that has been integrated with several of IBM's core AI products.